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2011中国海上风电市场报告
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2011海上风电报告



《2011中国海上风电市场报告》:本报告详细明确的阐述了目前中国海上风电市场发展现状和市场发展趋势,涉及主要相关产品即海上风电整机和风电传输产品的市场容量、海上风电产业政策及影响,整个产业链现状,并对2011年和今后几年的发展进行了趋势预测。

 

2010 CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET REPORT

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

1.    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................... 1

2.    THE CHINESE WIND POWER MARKET.............................................................................6

  2.1.  The history of wind power development in China ......................................................... 6

  2.2.  China's plans for medium-term wind power development............................................. 8

  2.3.  Grid connectivity problems create a bottleneck .......................................................... 10

  2.4.  Current shift toward offshore markets from onshore ................................................... 11

  2.5.  China plans offshore wind power development .......................................................... 12

3.    GOVERNMENT AND INDUSTRIAL POLICY..................................................................... 13

  3.1.  China’s renewable energy law .................................................................................... 14    

  3.2.  Impact of the Medium- and Long-Term Development Plan for renewable energy in

    China     14

  3.3.  Feed-in-tariff regulation............................................................................................... 16

  3.4.  Impact of the “Interim measures for the management of the development and

   construction of offshore wind power”.................................................................................. 17

  3.5.  Government funding of research and development programs for offshore wind power..

       ......................................................................... 19

4.     DEFINING OFFSHORE WIND POWER.............................................................................21

5.     CURRENT STATUS OF THE OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET...............................22

   5.1.  The Chinese government’s wind power development strategy ................................... 22

   5.2.  China’s offshore wind power planning and development strategy .............................. 24

   5.3.  The Shanghai Donghai Bridge 100 MW offshore wind power demonstration project . 25

   5.4.  First round of bidding for offshore wind power concessons ........................................ 27

6.   AMBITIOUS PROVINCIAL OFFSHORE WIND POWER PLANS......................................29

   6.1.  Medium-Term plans for provincial offshore wind power development ........................ 29

   6.2.  Jiangsu Provinces –China's biggest offshore wind power market............................... 31

   6.3.  Shandong Province –set to become china's second largest market by 2020 ............. 34

   6.4.  Shanghai Municipality –clear and concrete plans for offshore wind power development

         ............................................................. 36

   6.5.  Zhejiang Provinces - Limited onshore wind power resources; greater potential for

   developing offshore wind power.............................................................................................. 37

   6.6.  Fujian Province-the market will be developed in large scale after 2020...................... 39

7.   CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET FORECAST 2011-2015............................41

   7.1.  Projects are under constructions ................................................................................ 42

   7.2.  Forecast for offshore wind power installed capacity.................................................... 44

   7.3.  Other projects planned from each province ................................................................ 47

   7.4.  Offshore wind power market CAPEX and turbine market forecast ............................. 49

   7.5.  Offshore wind power transmission equipment marekt ................................................ 53

   7.6.  Defining the offshore substation market...................................................................... 54

   7.7.  Analysis of cost structure for offshore wind power projects ........................................ 54

 

8.   THE OFFSHORE WIND PWEOR VALUE CHAIN ............................................................. 58

   8.1.  State ownned power developer lead the wind power market ...................................... 58

   8.2.  Typical organizational structure of a large state-owned power company .................... 62

   8.3.  Bidding for concessions and demonstration projects .................................................. 64

   8.4.  China's offshore wind turbine market.......................................................................... 65

   8.5.  China hydropower dominates offshore market, opportunities for others .................. 69

   8.6.  Engineering companies operating in the offshore market ........................................... 71

   8.7.  Domestic manufacturers and local companies reap the rewards of the Donghai Bridge

        project  ....................................................................................................... 72

 

                                                         

2010 CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET REPORT

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Feed-in tariffs in different regions ........................................................................... 16

Table 2: China’s key offshore R&D programs....................................................................... 20

Table 3: Jiangsu province’s offshore wind power planning projects ..................................... 33

Table 4: List of wind turbines used in the Rudong 30 MW intertidal pilot project.................. 43

Table 5: Other demonstration projects in Jiangsu Province ................................................. 43

Table 6List of projects that were ready for bidding by late 2010 ....................................... 45

Table 7: Offshore wind power projects slated for the second stage of bidding..................... 48

Table 8: Estimated cost of electricity per kW for CAPEX and wind turbine markets, RMB... 49

Table 9: Denmark’s HornsRev Offshore Wind Power Farm Cost Analysis........................... 55

Table 10: Power developer’s Initial marketing activities in local market -Jiangsu................. 61

Table 11: Market penetration by developer for key wind turbine suppliers ........................... 67

Table 12: Companies that will supply offshore wind turbines to the Chinese market ........... 68

Table 13: List of companies involved in offshore wind power engineering ........................... 72

 

LIST OF FIGURES

 

Figure 1China wind power installation capacity statistics, 2009 ................................................ 8

Figure 3: China wind power development history........................................................................ 10

Figure 4The five stages of the project development process................................................... 19

Figure 5: Definitions of onshore and offshore wind power sources ............................................. 21

Figure 6: China's seven centrally-planned wind power bases with installed capacity of more than

      10 GW: .............................................................................................................................. 23

Figure 7: Phases of development in the Chinese offshore wind power market ........................... 25

Figure 8: Bidding prices for the first batch of concessions .......................................................... 27

Figure 9: Results of the first round of concession bidding........................................................... 28

Figure 10: China’s initial offshore wind power development plan by 2020 .................................. 29

Figure 11: China's provincial offshore wind power plan: accumulated installed capacity by 2015

............................................................................................................................................. 30

Figure 12: Jiangsu province's wind power development plan and cumulative installed capacity  31

 

Figure 13: Planned locations of offshore wind farms in Jiangsu province ................................... 32

 

                                                       

2010 CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET REPORT

 

Figure 14: Shandong province's wind power development plan and cumulative installed capacity

............................................................................................................................................. 35

Figure 15: Shanghai's wind power development plan and cumulative installed capacity ............ 36

Figure 16: Zhejiang province's wind power development plan and cumulative installed capacity38

Figure 17: Fujian province's wind power development plan and cumulative installed capacity... 40

Figure 18: Forecast for offshore wind power installed capacity in China 2010-2020................... 44

Figure 19: The schematic diagram of the offshore wind project schedule................................... 51

Figure 20: Offshore wind power CAPEX and wind turbine market forecast for 2010-2015 ......... 52

Figure 21: Offshore wind power transmission market definition .................................................. 54

Figure 22: Schematic diagram showing cost analysis of offshore substation systems................ 56

Figure 23: Forecast for the offshore substation order market 2010-2015 ................................... 57

Figure 24: Newly installed capacity by developer in 2009 ........................................................... 59

Figure 25: Benchmarked "Green Quota" status of China's top five state-owned developers ...... 60

Figure 26Organizational structure of Datang Group ................................................................ 63

Figure 27: Typical organizational structure of a "Big Five" power developer............................... 64

Figure 28: Share of the domestic wind turbine market, in terms of annual newly installed capacity,

2009..................................................................................................................................... 66

Figure 29: Organizational structure of China Hydropower Engineering Group Co. (CHECC)..... 70

Figure 30: Supply chain for the Donghai Bridge project .............................................................. 73

 

LIST OF APPENDICES

Appendix: A             Interim measures for the management of the developemnt and construction

of offshore wind power..........................................................................................................75

 

                                     Green Industry Market Research Company Ltd.

 


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